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New Poll Shows Patrick Daley Thompson Has Lead In 11th Ward Race

By Casey Cora | February 9, 2015 5:45am
 A poll shows Patrick Daley Thompson has a lead in the race for 11th Ward alderman. 
A poll shows Patrick Daley Thompson has a lead in the race for 11th Ward alderman. 
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Patrick D. Thomspon

BRIDGEPORT — A new poll suggests Patrick Daley Thompson has taken the early lead in the 11th Ward race for alderman. 

The one-question poll was conducted last week by Ogden & Fry for the political news website Aldertrack. Via phone call, a random sample of 429 likely voters were asked who they'd vote for if the election was held today. The results: 

Patrick Daley Thompson — 160 votes (37.3 percent)

John Kozlar — 93 votes (21.7 percent)

Maureen Sullivan — 50 votes (11.7 percent)

 

The key here is the number of undecided voters.

Twenty-seven respondents — nearly 30 percent — said they were undecided. 

The poll suggests Thompson would need to capture about a third of those undecided votes to avoid a runoff and win outright.

But right now, it would be a two-man race between Thompson and Kozlar.

The relatively high number of undecided voters is fairly typical for the weeks leading up to a race, said Ogden & Fry's Tom Swiss. 

"When early voting begins [Monday], the undecideds will be removed and then you'll get a chance to see which way they break," Swiss said.

The election takes place Feb. 24.

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